FOOD SECURITY IN BRAZIL IN 2050: CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE FOOD SYSTEM

Gustavo Souto de Noronha; JAIM JOSÉ DA SILVA JÚNIOR; Thiago Varanda Barbosa

Todos os Trabalhos

Trabalho

DOI

10.29327/9786527226680.1449570

Título do Trabalho

FOOD SECURITY IN BRAZIL IN 2050: CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE FOOD SYSTEM

Autores

Gustavo Souto de Noronha
JAIM JOSÉ DA SILVA JÚNIOR
Thiago Varanda Barbosa

Modalidade

IRSA - Congresso Mundial de Sociologia Rural (01/10/2025 a 20/01/2026)

Área temática

IRSA 03 - Sociology of Food

Data de Publicação

06/08/2026

País da Publicação

Brasil

Idioma da Publicação

pt-BR

Página do Trabalho

https://www.even3.com.br/anais/sober-irsa2026/1449570-food-security-in-brazil-in-2050--climate-change-and-the-food-system

ISBN

978-65-272-2668-0

Palavras-Chave

land use, food policy, market power, ultra-processed foods, agroecology

Resumo

This study conducts a prospective analysis of food and nutritional security (FNS) in Brazil through 2050. It examines how climate change may reshape fundamental attributes of the Brazilian food system, focusing on the interactions between climate change, food policy, and food market failures. The research adopts a prospective, qualitative-analytical approach grounded in the food systems framework and informed by mid-century climate change scenarios. Drawing on the social transformation of food, the study discusses the impacts of climate-related shocks across food availability, access, and agency in Brazil through 2050. The study finds that climate change is likely to exacerbate existing vulnerabilities in the Brazilian food system. Land tenure and ownership play an even more central role in achieving FNS. Also, food policies need a structural transformation in scale and relevance to reduce power imbalances and failures in the food market. There is an urgent need for increased investments to promote short supply chains, support agroecology, and expand public FNS facilities, such as food banks, community kitchens, and popular restaurants. The results also indicate that territorially grounded public policies and inclusive governance can strengthen food system resilience. By framing FNS as a socially constructed process embedded in livelihoods and power relations, the study contributes to debates on climate adaptation and food system transformation.

Título do Evento: 16th World Congress of Rural Sociology and 64th Congress of the Brazilian Society of Rural Economics, Management and Sociology
Cidade do Evento: Porto Alegre
Título dos Anais do Evento: Anais do 64º Congresso da SOBER e XVI Congresso Mundial de Sociologia Rural (IRSA)
Nome da Editora: Even3
Meio de Divulgação: Meio Digital
DOI

Como citar

NORONHA, Gustavo Souto de; JÚNIOR, JAIM JOSÉ DA SILVA; BARBOSA, Thiago Varanda. FOOD SECURITY IN BRAZIL IN 2050: CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE FOOD SYSTEM.. In: Anais do 64º Congresso da SOBER e XVI Congresso Mundial de Sociologia Rural (IRSA). Anais...Porto Alegre(RS) UFRGS, 2026. Disponível em: https//www.even3.com.br/anais/sober-irsa2026/1449570-FOOD-SECURITY-IN-BRAZIL-IN-2050--CLIMATE-CHANGE-AND-THE-FOOD-SYSTEM. Acesso em: 14/09/2026